Leasing... don't get it
I was doing a comparison of lease vs buy after 36 months.
Here are my assumptions:
Price of car $53000
Downpayment 10%
Residual value 69%
Loan APR 6%
Loan term 60 months (plan to sell early)
According to mbusa.com, lease payments would be around $807/month so the total money spent to have the car for 3 years would be 807*36+10%*53000= $34532. As I understand it, this is money out the window that I don't see again at the end of the lease term.
For the 60 month loan, I'm assuming I want to get rid of the car at the end of 3 years. Payment is $922/month so total money spent after 36 months is 922*36+10%*53000=$38492
BUT, in the loan case, I still owe 20806 at the end of 3 years and the car is worth 36570 after 3 years, so I have a net equity of 15764 that I could get if I simply sold the car in 3 years time. So 38492-15764=$22728 is the cost to drive the car around for 3 years.
So other than the mariginally cheaper payment of 807 vs 922 which is peanuts, what am I missing. Seems like leasing is way more expensive.
What am I missing?
Thanks,
-Eric
Having said that, there seem to be some questions about how you approached your calculations that you may want to take into account. First, I am not sure where the % rate you gave of 6% comes from. Is that available? On the MB site, the rate is indicated as 7.5% and results in a $955 per month payment with $5300 down. Did you factor in paying sales tax on the full purchase price on a purchase, as applicable? Are you absoutely sure of the resale value (I have been happy to turn in some leased cars where the "residual" value was way over market? Sometimes at lease end in such instances, if you want to keep the car, you can negotiate a lower buy). Have you factored in lost interest on the larger out-of-pocket for the purchase?
Probably even with all those issues taken into account, without an incentive lease deal or business use, purchasing remains, at least marginally, a better financial approach. I don't think it is as dramatic as you have initially calculated, though.
As far as interest rates, I can get 5.49% for 60 months from my credit union. If you are willing to take a little more interst risk, I can get 4.25% from equity line of credit and the interest is generally deductible. So there are very cheap ways to finance a car. Just my thoughts. Buying is best in my opinion and for my circumstances.
I did not factor in sales tax good point, although it is only 3% locally so that is not a huge deal. Im not at all sure of the resale value, but the little spreadsheet I have tells me I'd have to get to around 50% resale value in 3 years to make the lease look attractive. I have a hard time imaging the e320 would be worth only 25,000 in 3 years time, but it could be.
So, my numbers might be off, but still I don't think they are off enough to where leasing breaks even with purchasing in this scenario.
Thanks for the feedback
So, buying and leasing both have there benefits....buying, if you keep a car more than 4 years, or put a ton of mileage on your car.
I've had this page booked marked for several years now. I find it very helpful in time like this. If you can get the correct interest numbers from either your dealer or bank then this should help you out. If you use the lease calculator in the right hand column I get somewhat different numbers than you but then again I don't know what interest rate (money factor) the dealer is using either. I've assumed 8% or .003333 but I could be off.
You might want to check out www.leasewizard.com for a software package that can be helpful. Can't say from personal experience though on this one.
Last edited by Jack; Sep 13, 2002 at 03:40 PM.
- The Net Cost of the car (after deducting your down payment)
- The Money Factor (it's the interest rate/24). The money factor looks something like 0.00312. Regardless of the lease term, the money factor is based on the value 24 (multiply it by 24 to see the approximate interest rate)
- The Residual Value of the car (essentially, your buy-out price at the end of the term). This may also be expressed as a percentage (i.e. MB's usually have a 60ish% residual value...depending on your lease term)
- The Lease Term
You REALLY have to watch out for your dealer. They will follow the formula...and can mark up the month lease price...and all that money goes in their pocket. You may feel that you are getting a deal, but unless you know the true calculation you may be getting scr*wed.
The formula for calculating the lease payment is:
YOUR PAYMENT = Depreciation Fee + Finance Fee + Sales Tax
Depreciation Fee = (Net Car Cost – Residual Value) ÷ Term
Finance Fee = (Net Car Cost + Residual Value) × Money Factor
Sales Tax is calculated on the sum of Depreciation Fee and Finance Fee
All you need to do is set up a spreadsheet...to test our various options. Generally, if the lease price that the dealer gives you is higher than you expect, they are either (a) giving your a lower depreciation value than they should or (b) giving you a higher money factor than they should.
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if you can borrow at prime or better, pull the money out of lets say a line of credit and buy the car...
but if you are paying retail interest...it may be better to go with the financing offered via gmac etc.
with zero percent financing...for cars/trucks under about 35k, it is a no brainer.
I personally love to lease, I always go into a 3 year lease saying "I will love this car for three years", but in the end I see something else that catches my eye...so I buy out of the lease...pay some $ or roll it into the next lease (this only works well if the car you are leasing is deeply discounted from msrp)
ultimately every car, every deal, every time to buy is different and there is not one concrete answer as to whether to buy or lease.
I guess I said nothing ultimately...too many ****tails...
drdave




