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Why prices are dropping for EV’s.

Old Mar 4, 2023 | 01:03 AM
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Why prices are dropping for EV’s.

This is a very interesting article from the WSJ.

https://apple.news/AjqCbaMUUSGWG9Cdf98ce1A
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 01:13 AM
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Originally Posted by AppleFan1
This is a very interesting article from the WSJ.

https://apple.news/AjqCbaMUUSGWG9Cdf98ce1A
Not a subscriber...cannot read....
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 02:58 AM
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Originally Posted by bishop64
Not a subscriber...cannot read....
Same for me. My dealer still selling at MSRP.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 09:20 AM
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Interesting article. The take away for those of your without a subscription is that prices for EV's are dropping fast because of rapidly improving battery technology, dropping battery prices due to scale, and replacing difficult to source metals for more readily available metals. The author's conclusion is that people may soon start to have to pay a premium to buy conventionally powered cars.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 10:09 AM
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It is also a supply and demand issue and until there are EV’s that the masses can afford supply will eventually over ride demand. How many people do you know that can afford a $100k+ automobile?
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 10:19 AM
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Originally Posted by Utopia Texas
It is also a supply and demand issue and until there are EV’s that the masses can afford supply will eventually over ride demand. How many people do you know that can afford a $100k+ automobile?
Yah, I should have included that in my summary also...manufacturers are fast coming out with cheaper EV's, making them at or near parity with other modestly priced cars. How many people do I know who can afford a $100,000 priced vehicle? Practically all of my neighbors apparently, but I'm at a lose to understand how they are affording such toys.

Last edited by nath_h; Mar 4, 2023 at 10:22 AM.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 11:57 AM
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From what I have read the average American family is living pay check to pay check and has extended their lines of credit to the max. Just because folks live in nice houses, take multiple vacations a year or drive expensive cars does not necessarily mean they can afford them. It’s smoke and mirrors in some cases.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 12:36 PM
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Originally Posted by Utopia Texas
From what I have read the average American family is living pay check to pay check and has extended their lines of credit to the max. Just because folks live in nice houses, take multiple vacations a year or drive expensive cars does not necessarily mean they can afford them. It’s smoke and mirrors in some cases.
Good point.I winter in Orange County Coastal City.Amazed at the number of High End Cars AND special models here.Tesla's are like ubiquitous I was wondering what the secret is,till it was pointed out the Cash Poor Real Estate rich mindset here..i dont know the Whole Picture.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 12:39 PM
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Originally Posted by Utopia Texas
From what I have read the average American family is living pay check to pay check and has extended their lines of credit to the max. Just because folks live in nice houses, take multiple vacations a year or drive expensive cars does not necessarily mean they can afford them. It’s smoke and mirrors in some cases.
All these pithy generalizations have been the true highlight of my weekend thus far but my about-to-be-served pasta fajolis may push them down to runner-up.

In 2nd place right now is the map of last night’s high-wind caused power outages sent by my BIL
What the hell good is that for me?

Last edited by Newbyloub; Mar 4, 2023 at 12:54 PM.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 01:24 PM
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Originally Posted by nath_h
Yah, I should have included that in my summary also...manufacturers are fast coming out with cheaper EV's, making them at or near parity with other modestly priced cars. How many people do I know who can afford a $100,000 priced vehicle? Practically all of my neighbors apparently, but I'm at a lose to understand how they are affording such toys.
Debt.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 01:54 PM
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[QUOTE=Newbyloub;8732737]All these pithy generalizations have been the true highlight of my weekend thus far but my about-to-be-served pasta fajolis may push them down to runner-up.

It must be nice living in a alternate universe. U.S. credit card debt rose 60 Billion dollars since December to a all time high of 1 Trillion dollars. Move along citizen, nothing to see here.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 03:25 PM
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Originally Posted by bishop64
Not a subscriber...cannot read....
Thank you for posting the actual link. I don’t know why it’s not a “real” link when I post. I tap the link option on the iPhone but it comes out like crap when I paste it.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 06:06 PM
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Originally Posted by nath_h
Interesting article. The take away for those of your without a subscription is that prices for EV's are dropping fast because of rapidly improving battery technology, dropping battery prices due to scale, and replacing difficult to source metals for more readily available metals. The author's conclusion is that people may soon start to have to pay a premium to buy conventionally powered cars.
Thanks for the summary.
It is often overlooked that the battery technology is improving so rapid that an EV with today's battery will be 'obsolete' in, say, 5 years. Since the battery array is the most expensive component of an EV, value of today's EVs will drop much faster than gasoline cars. There is always a premium to pay when one wants to use latest tech.
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Old Mar 4, 2023 | 07:41 PM
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Originally Posted by Utopia Texas
From what I have read the average American family is living pay check to pay check and has extended their lines of credit to the max. Just because folks live in nice houses, take multiple vacations a year or drive expensive cars does not necessarily mean they can afford them. It’s smoke and mirrors in some cases.
Sounds like 2007 all over again. I had a girlfriend who's brother worked for a builder of upscale homes and I would go over his house and wonder how all of the people who lived in his neighborhood could afford them. Most were dual income families and I would think if one of them loses their job they are sunk. In 2009 I could have bought a home in that neighborhood that had sold for $560k for $370K
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 05:54 AM
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Originally Posted by bishop64
Thanks for the summary.
It is often overlooked that the battery technology is improving so rapid that an EV with today's battery will be 'obsolete' in, say, 5 years. Since the battery array is the most expensive component of an EV, value of today's EVs will drop much faster than gasoline cars. There is always a premium to pay when one wants to use latest tech.
Do you think it will become big business in the not-so-distant-future to manufacture "newer-technology" replacement batteries to be retrofitted onto "vintage" EV's? (as opposed to exact original spec battery replacement)
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 07:25 AM
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Originally Posted by Utopia Texas
From what I have read the average American family is living pay check to pay check and has extended their lines of credit to the max. Just because folks live in nice houses, take multiple vacations a year or drive expensive cars does not necessarily mean they can afford them. It’s smoke and mirrors in some cases.
I've wondered for several years now how my neighbors do it...big houses, multiple kids, private school, country club, and 2 new SUV's. And, they are young. It never would have occurred to me to buy such an expensive lifestyle when I was 35. They all must be running close to the edge, if mommy and daddy are not subsidizing their lifestyle.
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 08:50 AM
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Originally Posted by nath_h
I've wondered for several years now how my neighbors do it...big houses, multiple kids, private school, country club, and 2 new SUV's. And, they are young. It never would have occurred to me to buy such an expensive lifestyle when I was 35. They all must be running close to the edge, if mommy and daddy are not subsidizing their lifestyle.
advice given to me years ago they helped keep my ego in check:

it's not what you make it's what you keep
its not what you keep it's what you save
it's not what you save it's what you owe
its not what you have at the end it's what you value and what brings meaning to your life

spend accordingly.
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 11:47 AM
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Originally Posted by Newbyloub
Same for me. My dealer still selling at MSRP.
Last month MBUSA was offering $7500 discount on 36 month leases (which was presumably the pass through fleet tax credit which the IRS was allowing) along with suggested dealer contributions. This month, no $7500 discount but the offers still have the suggested dealer contribution. And the least term has dropped to 24 months.
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 07:43 PM
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Originally Posted by ScottC2
Do you think it will become big business in the not-so-distant-future to manufacture "newer-technology" replacement batteries to be retrofitted onto "vintage" EV's? (as opposed to exact original spec battery replacement)
It is possible but probably not.
Replacing an 'old tech' battery with a 'new tech' battery is likely not the same as switching Duracell/Energizer AAA batteries in a flashlight. The car's battery array is linked to the car system and is managed by its software. So, if 'new tech' battery is installed, it will need re-coding, which might be expensive, tedious and time consuming.
Additionally, from the point of view of the car manufacturer, it is much more profitable for them to have a consumer buying a new car with 'new tech' battery than giving the old car a 'new tech' battery. They will go in a direction that makes more money, for sure.

New business might arise for this replacement business. This then brings up a closely related issue, ie recycling the old battery. So far, this recycling industry is very immature. Will this recycling business take off with huge profits? I suppose, in the next 5 or 7 years, we will find out as we will be able to see how 'green' or 'environmental friendly' this recycling will be.

I do not work in the automotive industry. Just my 2 cents.
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 07:48 PM
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How old are some of the original Tesla batteries and how much more livable life might they have? Just asking anyone at random….
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 09:16 PM
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All I know is Nevada is becoming the next boom state as EV money by the billions will be and is pouring in. Battery and vehicle manufacturing plus lithium mining. What happens when everybody is tapped out? As all the stats are pointing to.
We are a long way from having the electric grid being about to support a new energy revolution. I think Musk is planning to build a solar based energy plant in Nevada. 1 mile by 1 mile square...big ideas. Very complicated financials given the debt cycle
position,individual,state,and country not to mention corporate debt....can China fund most of it?
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Old Mar 5, 2023 | 11:27 PM
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BMW/Toyota have not given up on Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles yet. As an Engineer, makes more sense for the future if its infrastructure evolves by 2035. Just my 2-pence...
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Old Mar 6, 2023 | 07:35 AM
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Originally Posted by ScottC2
Do you think it will become big business in the not-so-distant-future to manufacture "newer-technology" replacement batteries to be retrofitted onto "vintage" EV's? (as opposed to exact original spec battery replacement)
I read an article a few years ago about the BMW i3 having a third party option to retrofit a bigger battery. I've owned two of them, and they were both fantastic cars, but quite limited range. It was a natural fit to have someone figure out how to get more range. Complicated, sure, but all sorts of stuff has happened that seemed impossible only a decade ago. I wouldn't be surprised to see new battery options at some point in the future, if there is money to be made.
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Old Mar 9, 2023 | 10:59 AM
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Originally Posted by nola504
Last month MBUSA was offering $7500 discount on 36 month leases (which was presumably the pass through fleet tax credit which the IRS was allowing) along with suggested dealer contributions. This month, no $7500 discount but the offers still have the suggested dealer contribution. And the least term has dropped to 24 months.
MBUSA website has been updated and includes the 7500 lease incentive again.
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Old Mar 9, 2023 | 06:41 PM
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Originally Posted by Drone_S213
BMW/Toyota have not given up on Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles yet. As an Engineer, makes more sense for the future if its infrastructure evolves by 2035. Just my 2-pence...
Why does it make more sense? What metrics are you using to come to that conclusion?
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